Sonic's Third Quarter Results Reflect Current Challenges


  • Sales Improve Steadily after Slow March, and Development Initiatives Maintain Strong Momentum

  • Partner Drive-in Operations Slip



OKLAHOMA CITY, (BUSINESS WIRE) -- Sonic Corp. (NASDAQ: SONC), the nation's largest chain of drive-in restaurants, today announced results for the third quarter and nine months ended May 31, 2008. Key aspects of the company's third quarter performance included:

  • A 10% decline in net income per diluted share to $0.28 versus $0.31 in the prior year;

  • A 0.4% decline in system-wide same-store sales resulting primarily from weather-affected sales in March; system-wide same-store sales improved as the quarter progressed and returned to the company's targeted growth range of 2% to 4% in May; additionally, traffic for the quarter was slightly positive; and

  • The opening of 41 new drive-ins during the third quarter, the relocation or rebuild of 17 existing drive-ins, and the completion of 279 retrofits.


Commenting on the results, Clifford Hudson, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, said, "During the third fiscal quarter, the company confronted a number of challenges. As we previously noted, system-wide same-store sales were significantly negative in March, due primarily to the much colder and wetter weather we experienced versus March 2007. However, system-wide same-store sales turned slightly positive in April and returned to our targeted range of 2% to 4% growth in May. Also, traffic counts were positive for the system in the third quarter and reflected the ongoing success of our promotions, such as Sonic's Happy Hour and new coffee program. Still, lower-than-expected sales for the quarter, coupled with mounting commodity pressures, had a negative impact on restaurant-level margins.

"Same-store sales for the quarter remained solid for drive-ins in core and our newest markets," Hudson continued. "Same-store sales performance in developing markets overall was considerably weaker in the third quarter, however, reflecting a tougher consumer environment and less impact from our sales-driving initiatives, such as the retrofit, on a relative basis."

Same-store sales for partner drive-ins (drive-ins in which the company owns a majority interest) declined 3.9% in the third quarter. Like the system, partner drive-in sales showed relative improvement as the quarter progressed, but were negative in each month of the quarter, and the gap between the performance of partner drive-ins and franchise drive-ins increased during the quarter. Management believes the declining performance at partner drive-ins is attributable, at least in part, to consumer reaction to aggressive price increases taken last year combined with a decline in service due to an emphasis on margin management. Because of the significance of partner drive-ins to Sonic's revenues and expenses, negative sales trends at partner drive-ins had a disproportionate impact on the overall company's financial performance for the quarter. Going forward, Sonic is placing a renewed focus on customer service and implementing a more strategic approach to pricing, which are expected to have a positive impact on partner drive-in sales. However, it is difficult to predict how quickly these changes will benefit sales.

The rebound in system sales as the third quarter progressed reflected Sonic's ongoing efforts to refine its promotional strategy to achieve an appropriate balance between varied day-part promotions. Sonic's summer promotions will be built around product news, such as the return of the Island Fire Burger, along with new frozen treats. The company will continue to focus on value messaging, including 99 cent shakes and Happy Hour, which features half-priced drinks from 2 p.m. to 4 p.m. everyday.

Investments in national cable advertising continue to be successful and are expected to be over $95 million in fiscal 2008, with total media spending expected to reach $190 million this fiscal year.

Income Statement Overview

Net income per diluted share for the third quarter of fiscal 2008 declined 10% to $0.28 from $0.31 in the year-earlier period. The company's earnings per share for the third quarter reflected a decline in same-store sales and lower restaurant-level margins. Rising commodity costs, increased labor and higher other operating expenses resulted in lower restaurant-level margins for the third quarter, although these pressures were partially offset by a decline in minority interest in earnings at partner drive-ins. Net income per diluted share for the first nine months of fiscal 2008 grew 10% to $0.64 from $0.58.

Revenues for the third fiscal quarter rose 1% to $213.0 million from $209.9 million in the year-earlier period. This increase was attributable to new unit growth and higher franchising income. For the first nine months of the fiscal year, revenues increased 6% to $577.8 million from $546.2 million in the same period last year.

Same-Store Sales

System-wide same-store sales declined 0.4% for the third quarter of fiscal 2008. This reflected a 0.5% increase at franchise drive-ins offset by a 3.9% decline at partner drive-ins. For the first nine months of fiscal 2008, system-wide same-store sales rose 1.5%, reflecting a 1.7% increase at franchise drive-ins and a 0.3% increase at partner drive-ins.

The weakness in same-store sales for the third quarter was attributable primarily to widespread poor performance in March, especially in the company's developing markets, which experienced a 6.9% decline in same-store sales versus a 1.3% increase for core markets. For the first nine months of fiscal 2008, same-store sales in developing markets declined 4.7% compared with a 3.0% increase for the company's core markets.

Development and Retrofit

During the third quarter, Sonic opened 41 new drive-ins compared with 48 in the year-earlier period, including 35 franchise drive-in openings versus 43 in the year-earlier quarter. Through the third quarter of the fiscal year, the company opened 111 drive-ins compared with 114 in the year-earlier period, including 95 franchise drive-ins in fiscal 2008 and 99 in fiscal 2007. The company now expects to open 175 to 185 drive-ins system-wide in fiscal 2008.

Although new drive-in openings show a slight decline in fiscal 2008, existing franchisees continue to invest heavily in rebuilds and relocations - another critical area of development that typically has a significant bearing on drive-in sales and profitability. While rebuilt or relocated drive-ins are not considered new, the level of financial and development resources required is similar to that of a new drive-in. In the third quarter, Sonic franchisees rebuilt or relocated 16 additional drive-ins, for an increase of 45% over the prior-year quarter, bringing the fiscal 2008 year-to-date total to 45 versus 25 through the first nine months of fiscal 2007. The company believes existing franchisees are on track to rebuild and/or relocate 60 to 70 drive-ins in fiscal 2008. This, combined with commitments for new drive-ins in fiscal 2008, reflects franchisees' confidence in the strength of the Sonic brand.

Franchisees also remain committed to the retrofit program and its results, completing 228 retrofits during the third quarter, for a total of 630 for the first nine months of the fiscal year and 956 since the franchisee retrofit process began in early calendar year 2007. More than 44% of Sonic's franchise drive-ins now have the new look. In addition, Sonic retrofitted a total of 51 partner drive-ins in the third quarter of fiscal 2008 for a total of 128 partner drive-ins for the first nine months of the fiscal year. The company now has retrofitted a total of 354 partner drive-ins since the program began, and currently over 75% of partner drive-ins have the new look. For fiscal 2008, Sonic expects to complete in excess of 700 franchise retrofits and 150 partner drive-in retrofits.

Concluding Comments

Concluding, Hudson said, "Although the company is experiencing some near-term challenges in certain markets, we are confident that our multi-layered growth strategy - focused on sales-driving initiatives, development and efficient use of capital - will have a positive impact on Sonic's longer-term performance."

Fiscal 2008 Outlook

Sonic expects that its earnings per diluted share will increase in the range of 4% to 6% in fiscal 2008 versus fiscal 2007 earnings per diluted share of $0.96, which is adjusted for prior-year debt refinancing charges. With respect to the fourth fiscal quarter ending August 31, 2008, the company expects the following:

  • System-wide same-store sales growth within the target range of 2% to 4%, with partner drive-ins performing somewhat below this range. If the unfavorable gap between franchise and partner drive-in sales increases beyond the level experienced in the third quarter, the impact on the earnings outlook could be more negative than the company's current expectations;

  • Unfavorable restaurant-level margins, as a percentage of sales versus the prior year, due to continued commodity cost pressure and higher labor costs resulting from the next minimum wage increase that goes into effect in July;

  • Net interest expense of $11 million to $13 million, resulting from increased interest expense related to the company's tender offer in fiscal 2007 and subsequent share repurchases;

  • A share-repurchase authorization of approximately $10.4 million remaining for fiscal year 2008; subject to the level of future share repurchases, weighted average diluted shares outstanding are expected to be in the range of 62 million to 63 million shares for fiscal 2008; and

  • A tax rate in the range of 37.5% to 38.5% for the quarter.


About Sonic

Sonic, America's Drive-In, originally started as a hamburger and root beer stand in 1953 in Shawnee, Okla., called Top Hat Drive-In, and then changed its name to Sonic in 1959. The first drive-in to adopt the Sonic name is still serving customers in Stillwater, Okla. Sonic has more than 3,400 drive-ins coast to coast, where more than a million customers eat every day. For more information about Sonic Corp. and its subsidiaries, visit Sonic at www.sonicdrivein.com.

A listen-only simulcast of Sonic's third quarter conference call can be accessed at the company's web site. The simulcast will begin at approximately 9:00 a.m. Central Time tomorrow, June 25, 2008. An on-demand replay, using the same link, will be available at approximately noon tomorrow and will continue until July 25, 2008.

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Forward-looking statements reflect management's expectations regarding future events and operating performance and speak only as of the date hereof. These forward-looking statements involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in, or underlying, these forward-looking statements are detailed in the company's annual and quarterly report filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The company undertakes no obligation to publicly release revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof or to reflect the occurrence of unforeseen events, except as required to be reported under the rules and regulations of the Securities and Exchange Commission.

The tables that follow provide information regarding the number of partner drive-ins, franchise drive-ins and system drive-ins in operation as of the end of the periods indicated. In addition, these tables provide information regarding franchise sales, system growth in sales, and both franchise and system average drive-in sales and change in same-store sales. System information includes both partner and franchise drive-in information, which we believe is useful in analyzing the growth of our brand. While we do not record franchise drive-in sales as revenues, we believe this information is important in understanding our financial performance since we calculate and record franchise royalties based on a percentage of franchise sales. This information also is indicative of the financial health of our franchisees.


SONIC CORP.
Unaudited Supplemental Information
(In thousands, except per share amounts)

Third Quarter Ended Nine Months Ended
May 31, May 31,
------------------- -------------------
2008 2007 2008 2007
--------- --------- --------- ---------
Income Statement Data
Revenues:
Partner Drive-In sales $178,338 $175,027 $484,762 $458,453
Franchise Drive-Ins:
Franchise royalties 32,463 30,523 86,786 78,146
Franchise fees 1,410 1,367 3,669 3,118
Other 787 3,004 2,583 6,446
--------- --------- --------- ---------
212,998 209,921 577,800 546,163
Costs and expenses:
Partner Drive-Ins:
Food and packaging 47,150 45,324 127,301 119,103
Payroll and other employee
benefits 54,405 52,472 149,453 141,152
Minority interest in
earnings of Partner Drive-
Ins 6,488 8,232 16,580 18,091
Other operating expenses 36,471 33,374 99,851 92,586
--------- --------- --------- ---------
144,514 139,402 393,185 370,932

Selling, general and
administrative 15,716 15,236 46,170 43,670
Depreciation and amortization 13,044 11,225 37,944 33,082
Provision for impairment of
long-lived assets -- 742 99 742
--------- --------- --------- ---------
173,274 166,605 477,398 448,426
--------- --------- --------- ---------

Income from operations 39,724 43,316 100,402 97,737

Interest expense 12,340 11,636 37,836 29,150
Debt extinguishment costs -- -- -- 6,076
Interest income (372) (715) (1,674) (2,166)
--------- --------- --------- ---------
Net interest expense 11,968 10,921 36,162 33,060
--------- --------- --------- ---------
Income before income taxes 27,756 32,395 64,240 64,677
Provision for income taxes 10,517 11,747 24,165 22,518
--------- --------- --------- ---------
Net income $ 17,239 $ 20,648 $ 40,075 $ 42,159
========= ========= ========= =========

Net income per share:
Basic $ 0.29 $ 0.32 $ 0.66 $ 0.61
========= ========= ========= =========
Diluted $ 0.28 $ 0.31 $ 0.64 $ 0.58
========= ========= ========= =========
Weighted average shares used
in calculation:
Basic 60,167 64,985 60,414 69,639
========= ========= ========= =========
Diluted 62,023 67,408 62,491 72,308
========= ========= ========= =========


SONIC CORP.
Unaudited Supplemental Information


Third Quarter Ended Nine Months Ended
May 31, May 31,
------------------- -----------------
2008 2007 2008 2007
--------- -------- -------- --------
Drive-Ins in operation:
Partner:
Total at beginning of period 665 639 654 623
Opened 6 5 16 15
Acquired from (sold to)
franchisees 11 -- 15 8
Closed -- -- (3) (2)
--------- -------- -------- --------
Total at end of period 682 644 682 644
--------- -------- -------- --------
Franchise:
Total at beginning of period 2,729 2,606 2,689 2,565
Opened 35 43 95 99
Acquired from (sold to)
company (11) -- (15) (8)
Closed (net of reopening) (7) (2) (23) (9)
--------- -------- -------- --------
Total at end of period 2,746 2,647 2,746 2,647
--------- -------- -------- --------
System-wide:
Total at beginning of period 3,394 3,245 3,343 3,188
Opened 41 48 111 114
Closed (net of reopening) (7) (2) (26) (11)
--------- -------- -------- --------
Total at end of period 3,428 3,291 3,428 3,291
========= ======== ======== ========

Core markets 2,570 2,474 2,570 2,474
Developing markets 858 817 858 817
--------- -------- -------- --------
All markets 3,428 3,291 3,428 3,291
========= ======== ======== ========


Note: Partner Drive-Ins are those Sonic Drive-Ins in which the company owns a majority interest, typically at least 60%. Most supervisors and managers of Partner Drive-Ins own a minority equity interest.

Markets are identified based on television viewing areas and further classified as core or developing markets based upon the number of drive-ins in a market and the level of advertising support. Market classifications are updated periodically.


SONIC CORP.
Unaudited Supplemental Information
($ in thousands)

Third Quarter Ended Nine Months Ended
May 31, May 31,
------------------- -----------------------
2008 2007 2008 2007
--------- --------- ----------- -----------

Sales Analysis
Partner Drive-Ins:
Total sales $178,338 $175,027 $ 484,762 $ 458,453
Average drive-in sales 264 275 732 726
Change in same-store
sales -3.9% 3.3% 0.3% 1.6%
Franchise Drive-Ins:
Total sales $836,568 $800,373 $2,249,589 $2,112,719
Average drive-in sales 309 309 835 820
Change in same-store
sales 0.5% 4.1% 1.7% 3.5%
System-wide:
Change in total sales 13.5% 9.1% 6.3% 8.3%
Average drive-in sales $ 299 $ 300 $ 814 $ 800
Change in same-store
sales -0.4% 4.0% 1.5% 3.2%

Core and Developing
Markets
System-wide average
drive-in sales:
Core markets $ 313 $ 308 $ 854 $ 828
Developing markets 257 275 691 711
System-wide change in
same-store sales:
Core markets 1.3% 4.1% 3.0% 3.6%
Developing markets -6.9% 3.3% -4.7% 1.5%



Note: Change in same-store sales based on drive-ins open for at least 15 months.

Markets are identified based on television viewing areas and further classified as core or developing markets based upon the number of drive-ins in a market and the level of advertising support. Market classifications are updated periodically.


SONIC CORP.
Unaudited Supplemental Information


Third Quarter Ended Nine Months Ended
May 31, May 31,
------------------- --------------------
2008 2007 2008 2007
--------- -------- --------- ----------
Margin Analysis
Partner Drive-Ins:
Food and packaging 26.4% 25.9% 26.3% 26.0%
Payroll and employee
benefits 30.5% 30.0% 30.8% 30.8%
Minority interest in
earnings of Partner Drive-
Ins 3.6% 4.7% 3.4% 3.9%
Other operating expenses 20.5% 19.1% 20.6% 20.2%
--------- -------- --------- ----------
81.0% 79.7% 81.1% 80.9%

May 31, August 31,
2008 2007
--------- ----------
(In thousands)
Balance Sheet Data
Total assets $798,371 $ 758,520
Current assets 71,182 73,703
Current liabilities 112,528 114,487
Obligations under capital
leases, long-term debt, and
other non-current
liabilities 772,684 750,835
Stockholders' deficit (86,841) (106,802)




SONC-G

SOURCE: Sonic Corp.

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